The September Campaign Finance reports came out .. here are some highlights:
Dan Kohl has raised a whopping $171,000. HOWEVER .. he himself donated $5k, and loaned the campaign an incredible $100k. So he's really raised $66,000 from other folks. 29% of that was raised outside Wisconsin. He's spent $51k on mailings, $30k on 3 polls.
Sandy Pasch has raised $45k, $13k of which are loans for a net of $32k in donations.
Andy Feldman has raised $49k, $30k of which are loans, for a net of $19k in donations.
Guy Johnson has raised about $5k, none of which are loans.
WOW. So we're at nearly $270k spent on this PRIMARY race, nearly 2/3rds of which spent via the Kohl campaign. His $100k loan is a whopper. Even Feldman's $30k loan is huge, for a guy whose employment is "full time candidate."
I'm going to take a complete crapshoot in the dark guess here, on the results for next Tuesday:
1. Pasch - 31%
2. Feldman - 30%
3. Kohl - 21%
4. Johnson - 18%
Just a gut feel. I still have Johnson as a dark horse, as Republicans could easily cross over and vote for him as the most moderate of the group. The question is, how many Republicans will even vote on Tuesday (their only race is Burkee/Sensenbrenner a.k.a. David/Goliath) .. and have any Republicans been watching this race closely enough to know Guy Johnson is the moderate? -- And Kohl could perform better than I've predicted. That kind of money buys a lot of presence. It all depends on who's reading the mail, and will they remember Kohl's mailings, etc.
Actual Reports: .. (ht: Michael Horne)